WRITER: SIMON GIANNAKIS
Disclaimer & Disclosure: Please review our policy as outlined on our website www.thatstockguy.NET
Intended
Audience
Personal investors
holding stock positions in acquisition happy companies.
Summary Points to Take
Away
(1) Why companies
enter into M&A activities: (a) Cost Cutting (b) Improved Bargaining Power
(c) Control Premiums (d)
Diversification (e) Growth.
(2) Not always the shareholders of the acquirer that get to
keep the value of estimated synergies.
(3) Why worry about M&A activities: (a) Management Masking Internal Growth Deficiencies (b) Extrapolating historical growth without the costs of continuing past acquisition activity (c) Integration Issues (d) Spreading Management Too Thin.
Why Companies Enter
into Merger & Acquisition Activities
The most common reasoning spread by management of acquisition
hungry organizations is the value created by synergies, to be passed onto the shareholders, such
as:
Cost Cutting:
Value created by supporting the same revenue base with fewer capital
expenditures and lower levels of operating
expenses, which is usually realized through salary cutting by merging similar
departments (ex. combining of marketing
departments would only require one VP of marketing instead of
two).
Improved Bargaining
Positioning: Growing market share to improve bargaining power over
suppliers and consumers, typically having
a positive effect on the combined company's gross margin.
Control premiums: The additional value created by switching management, who can theoretically further utilize the company's operations beyond the level of the previous management.
Diversification:
Allowing companies to branch into different industries, which spread the risk of
variability of operating cash flows,
resulting in a more consistent level of performance. This provides investors
with greater value by providing steady
cash flow with less risk of variability in operating
performance.
Growth: Allowing companies with few growth
opportunities to exploit opportunities available to firms with little capital
to take advantage of them.
Based on the above points, it
appears reasonable to assume that acquisitions can lead to the creation of value
for shareholders. Empirical evidence
though indicates that the acquirer typically underperforms the rest of the
market in terms of returns to
shareholders. Two theories behind why this is the case: (1) Value created from
synergies are often realized by the
shareholders of the acquired and not the acquirer (2) Synergies are
over-simplified leading to an underestimate of the difficultly involved in realizing
synergies.
Who Gets to Keep the Value Created by M&A
Actions?
Empirical evidence
shows that shareholders of the acquired firm are the main beneficiaries during
merger and acquisition activities. Why is
this? Bidding wars! Management of likely to be acquired companies take their
case to other competitors of the potential
acquirer in order to get more bids involved in the acquisition process, forcing
the winner of the bidding to likely had
over a substantial portion of the estimated synergies to be gained over to the
shareholders of the acquired company. When
considering that there is risk to realizing these estimated synergies, the
risk of realizing those synergies lies
squarely on the shoulders of the acquiring companies' shareholders as those of
the acquired are receiving a tender offer
for their shares that already includes the value of these synergies. Famed
investor Warren Buffet sticks to acquiring
no more than 20% of companies as purchasing the rest would bring him
into a bidding war; thus, reducing the
inherent value to be earned by making the purchase, as he says "We don't do
bidding wars'.
What Else Should Investor's
be Concerned About
Investor's
should keep several factors in mind when researching and purchasing companies
known as "serial acquirers":
Masking internal growth
deficiencies. Management may be troubled by low organic growth rates,
and in an effort to improve the growth
rate to shareholders, they'll begin acquiring companies to prop up annual
growth. This long term growth strategy is
unsustainable though as opportunities will become scare and the fact remains
that the core business is not growing on
its own.
Extrapolating
growth but not the cost of acquisitions. Many analysts factor in
historical growth rates obtained through acquisitions into the future without factoring the cost of
continually purchasing firms to maintain this growth rate. When perusing an analyst research report, keep this in
mind.
Integration
Issues. The majority of mergers and acquisitions face more issues and
complications than expected. As an
auditor, I've been on several engagements involving recent M&A activities,
and from my personal experience the transition rarely goes smoothly. Issues both big and small, from
conflicting corporate cultures down to integrating all staff on a common phone and internet network. The process takes
years, and in some instances full integration never happens
Spreading management too thin. Upon M&A
activities the acquired company's executive team is typically terminated;
thus, placing additional tasks and
responsibilities among the existing management team. Tends to bog them down
with operational and integration issues
instead of focusing on keeping the company's strategy on tract and being
focused on the future, not fixing the
small issues of the past and present. Management's focus changes to handling
current issues instead of anticipating on
how to overcome the problems of tomorrow.
Where to go from
here?
If you find yourself
with a position in a serial acquirer (i.e. management who make continuous
acquisitions), keep the above points in
mind when assessing its value. The issues noted above don't apply to all
acquirers, but they are typically not the
norm.
Would love to hear your
feedback, contact thatstockguy.NET@gmail.com
Thanks,
Simon
Simon
Giannakis is the founder and creator of www.thatstockguy.NET . He is a Senior Accountant within
the Assurance and Advisory group at an international
public accounting firm in Toronto, Ontario. Simon is a Chartered
Accountant and currently pursuing his CFA designation. Simon can be contacted through
thatstockguy.net@gmail.com
.